Numbers Don't Lie

Friday, November 03, 2006

Does weekend polls favor the Democrats ?

In US, it's a common claim that weekend political phone polls skewed toward the Democrats. Here is the reasoning: on the weekend, the people who are most likely to answer their phones are older people who are more likely to be at home, so the polls may not be representative of all Americans; the poll samples could have a bias toward the older people. My dad told me this claim few time before.

However, a recent review rebuffed this common claim. For the last 3 presidential elections, among the Sunday-to-Thursday people polled in 2004, 49% supported Bush and 46% supported Kerry. Polls of the stay-at-home, Friday-to-Saturday folkls produced similar numbers - 48% and 46%.

It is reassuring that our polling methodology and standards have much more scientific merit than common claims.

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4 Comments:

Blogger Forty_Two said...

A recent Gallop Poll found that 93% of Americans believed that 87% of all statistics are inaccurate or biased by the phraseology of the questions.

5:36 PM

 
Blogger jakalof said...

Hey -- your using my web template:)

5:38 PM

 
Blogger lillie4ever-gwaihir said...

would you be linkd on my blog??

5:23 AM

 
Blogger Sicilian said...

Love it. . . is it possible that Democrats just answer their phone more???????????
Ciao

7:33 AM

 

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